Trade Value Methodology

What a Pilot Value represents

Pilot Value is a relative index for comparing fantasy assets inside a specific league format. It is not projected fantasy points, auction dollars, or a claim about the exact price another manager will accept. A value of 90 indicates substantially more trade weight than a value of 60, but the relationship is not perfectly linear.

The baseline combines expected production, role security, positional replacement value, and market durability. Dynasty adds career runway and liquidity. Redraft concentrates on the current scoring season.

How league settings change the baseline

Adjustments apply differently by position. Moving from half PPR to full PPR does not increase every player by one universal percentage; receiving backs, high-volume wide receivers, and tight ends respond differently.

Why package values use diminishing weights

Fantasy teams have limited starting spots and roster spots. The highest-value asset on each side receives full weight. Additional pieces receive progressively lower weights because their points are less likely to replace the production of the best player in the deal.

This adjustment is deliberately conservative. It prevents “four bench players equal one star” results, but it cannot know your exact roster. Deep leagues and best-ball formats can make depth more valuable.

The verdict language follows the size of the gap

A gap below seven adjusted index points is a preference call. Seven to fourteen points is a lean. Fifteen to twenty-nine points creates an edge, and a gap of thirty or more receives a clear-winner label. High-volatility assets should reduce the user’s confidence even when the numerical gap is wide.

The thresholds create consistent language; they do not turn uncertain projections into facts. League market, lineup needs, injuries, and manager risk tolerance remain outside the current calculation.

Update cadence and known limitations

The current public model is a 2026 preseason baseline dated July 25, 2026. The intended in-season cadence is one scheduled weekly refresh plus event-driven review after major injuries, trades, suspensions, and depth-chart changes. Every material model update should retain a visible date.

• The public MVP contains a curated set of high-interest assets.
• It does not yet import a user’s complete roster or starting requirements.
• It does not predict whether another manager will accept an offer.
• Rookie pick projections can change dramatically during a season.
• Values are independent estimates and should not be presented as consensus.